From being statistically tied to the likes of Grace Poe and Mar Roxas in sometimes questionable surveys from SWS and Pulse Asia, this time, the results are now mirroring those made by Rappler, 7-Eleven and others.
Davao Mayor Rodrigo Duterte has broken away from the pack of presidentiables, taking a 30 percent voter preference in the latest pre-electoral national survey by Pulse Asia on commission from broadcast network ABS-CBN, with closest rival Senator Grace Poe in second spot with 25 percent.
Vice President Jejomar Binay, with 20 percent, and administration standard bearer Manuel Roxas II, who got 19 percent, were statistically tied at third. Senator Miriam Defensor-Santiago managed to get 2 percent while 4 percent of the respondents either had no choice, remained undecided or refused to disclose their choice.
In the vice presidential race, Senator Ferdinand Marcos Jr. pulled off a similar feat, leading with 28 percent, while Senator Francis Escudero, who had been deadlocked with him in past surveys, took 21 percent to tie with administration bet Camarines Sur Representative Leni Robredo, who got 22 percent. Senator Alan Peter Cayetano placed third with 15 percent, followed by Senator Antonio Trillanes IV with 5 percent and Senator Gregorio Honasan with 4 percent.
The survey, conducted through face-to-face interviews with 4,000 registered voters from March 29-April 3, has a ± 1.5% error margin at the 95 percent confidence level, Pulse Asia said. The respondents were asked who they would vote for if the elections took place at the time of the survey.
The results of the ABS-CBN Pulse Asia poll were similar to those of the March 30-April 2 First Quarter 2016 Social Weather Station-Business World survey, which had Duterte topping the presidential race with 27 percent, followed by Poe with 23 percent, Binay with 20 percent, Roxas with 18 percent, and Santiago with 3 percent.
That survey also had Marcos taking the lead with 26 percent, followed by Escudero with 21 percent, Robredo with 19 percent, Cayetano with 13 percent, and Honasan and Trillanes with 5 percent each.
The Pulse Asia survey had Duterte topping Mindanao with 55 percent and the ABC (41 percent) and D (31 percent) classes. Poe took the rest of Luzon with 31 percent, and Roxas, the Visayas, with 34 percent. Metro Manila was split between Duterte (32 percent) and Poe (30 percent).
Poe was the second choice for 31 percent of respondents and would stand to gain the most should Duterte choose to drop out of the race, with 41 percent of his supporters saying she was their alternative choice.
For alternative choices, Escudero came first with 29 percent, Cayetano got 16 percent, while Marcos (11 percent) and Robredo (11 percent) tied for third place.
For the senators, there’s the magic 12 that will make the cut. Anything below are in need of a better campaign, and sadly, some comprise of actual worthy senatoriable figures.
Now that Duterte is tops, expect Mar Roxas and Binay to whine nonstop, pleading people to stay away from Duterte. But even that act may be too late, not even if they raise up his questionable China or communist ‘allegiances’.
The Duterte camp is bracing for a shitstorm, and rightfully so. Less than a month remains until the polls cast judgment.